Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 13.862035 15.893977 18.056418 20.522133 23.248641 26.164204 29.510432
2025-02-02 11.509856 14.231322 17.296541 20.980891 25.264304 30.062054 35.816005
2025-02-09 9.677071 12.768457 16.421928 21.009151 26.562505 33.014606 41.020449
2025-02-16 7.909282 11.098374 15.040612 20.191736 26.657854 34.416019 44.329716
2025-02-23 6.773279 10.046698 14.258446 19.956604 27.335007 36.431148 48.342205
2025-03-02 5.766560 9.027433 13.387465 19.483016 27.606671 37.873062 51.616646
2025-03-09 5.034192 8.288575 12.797349 19.291672 28.172896 39.645406 55.302887
2025-03-16 4.337612 7.514512 12.074815 18.838530 28.321998 40.832028 58.220386
2025-03-23 3.903170 7.077584 11.779948 18.935124 29.185865 42.952123 62.384549
2025-03-30 3.483935 6.614316 11.399098 18.865017 29.786918 44.708925 66.085436
2025-04-06 3.186188 6.311324 11.227067 19.073415 30.768144 46.990985 70.533634
2025-04-13 2.919958 6.030009 11.060340 19.266493 31.716427 49.236296 74.970959
2025-04-20 2.750236 5.900493 11.126504 19.820271 33.219670 52.315683 80.664929
2025-04-27 2.562692 5.718028 11.089180 20.202172 34.470588 55.061591 85.951733
2025-05-04 2.324790 5.415517 10.826370 20.203316 35.133388 56.966834 90.083178
2025-05-11 1.980107 4.866819 10.098203 19.400658 34.514003 56.967766 91.471811
2025-05-18 1.763986 4.543824 9.734228 19.168690 34.759546 58.231140 94.691990
2025-05-25 1.540162 4.175103 9.255659 18.708394 34.611528 58.885994 97.019995
2025-06-01 1.376839 3.913382 8.950505 18.522452 34.886591 60.173366 100.294321
2025-06-08 1.201402 3.599549 8.518757 18.083510 34.719964 60.766810 102.531950
2025-06-15 1.102840 3.449619 8.391179 18.176899 35.431601 62.726098 106.854072
2025-06-22 0.997109 3.267365 8.183464 18.108990 35.862458 64.248978 110.536538
2025-06-29 0.926608 3.162913 8.124732 18.310703 36.753894 66.513016 115.390527